Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000533 0.000607 0.000686 0.000775 0.000873 0.000978 0.001098
2026-02-01 0.000418 0.000519 0.000635 0.000774 0.000938 0.001122 0.001345
2026-02-08 0.000343 0.000453 0.000585 0.000751 0.000953 0.001190 0.001486
2026-02-15 0.000287 0.000402 0.000545 0.000732 0.000967 0.001252 0.001617
2026-02-22 0.000251 0.000369 0.000521 0.000727 0.000995 0.001326 0.001762
2026-03-01 0.000222 0.000342 0.000502 0.000726 0.001024 0.001401 0.001907
2026-03-08 0.000195 0.000315 0.000479 0.000716 0.001039 0.001457 0.002029
2026-03-15 0.000171 0.000289 0.000457 0.000704 0.001049 0.001505 0.002139
2026-03-22 0.000160 0.000281 0.000457 0.000722 0.001101 0.001608 0.002325
2026-03-29 0.000148 0.000269 0.000451 0.000732 0.001140 0.001696 0.002491
2026-04-05 0.000132 0.000251 0.000435 0.000724 0.001153 0.001746 0.002606
2026-04-12 0.000119 0.000235 0.000419 0.000716 0.001164 0.001794 0.002720
2026-04-19 0.000110 0.000225 0.000413 0.000723 0.001198 0.001876 0.002884
2026-04-26 0.000100 0.000214 0.000404 0.000724 0.001223 0.001945 0.003031
2026-05-03 0.000087 0.000195 0.000381 0.000701 0.001211 0.001959 0.003100
2026-05-10 0.000077 0.000179 0.000362 0.000683 0.001205 0.001981 0.003180
2026-05-17 0.000070 0.000169 0.000351 0.000679 0.001219 0.002034 0.003305
2026-05-24 0.000064 0.000161 0.000343 0.000678 0.001237 0.002092 0.003440
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000151 0.000331 0.000668 0.001242 0.002130 0.003544
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000140 0.000317 0.000657 0.001243 0.002160 0.003637
2026-06-14 0.000049 0.000139 0.000321 0.000674 0.001292 0.002267 0.003848
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000135 0.000320 0.000684 0.001328 0.002354 0.004031
2026-06-28 0.000041 0.000127 0.000310 0.000676 0.001334 0.002394 0.004141